Chinese Medical E-ournals Database

Chinese Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Pediatrics(Electronic Edition) ›› 2023, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (03): 363 -372. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1673-5250.2023.03.018

Original Article

Trend analysis of survival rate of female patients with malignant tumors of childbearing age in Qidong, Jiangsu Province

Yongsheng Chen1, Jian Zhu2, Jun Wang1, Yonghui Zhang1, Yuanyou Xu1, Lulu Ding1, Jianguo Chen1, Jian Fan1, Hairong Yao1,()   

  1. 1Qidong People′s Hospital/Qidong Liver Cancer Institute, Qidong 226200, Jiangsu Province, China
    2Department of Etiology, Affiliated Qidong Hospital of Nantong University, Qidong 226200, Jiangsu Province, China
  • Received:2023-01-10 Revised:2023-05-16 Published:2023-06-01
  • Corresponding author: Hairong Yao
  • About author:

    Chen Yongsheng and Zhu Jian contributed equally to the article

  • Supported by:
    National Key Research and Development Program(2021YFC2500400); 2022 Nantong Basic Scientific Research and Social and People′s Livelihood Science and Technology Plan Project(JCZ2022050)
Objective

To explore the survival rate and its trend of malignant tumor in childbearing-aged female (MTCF) with 15-49 years old in Qidong, Jiangsu Province in the past 45 years.

Methods

A total of 10 014 patients with MTCF (including benign tumors of brain and central nervous system) aged 15-49 years registered in the Qidong Cancer Registry System and All-Cause Mortality Registration System which affiliated to Qidong Liver Cancer Institute from January 1, 1972 to December 31, 2016 were selected in the study. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) of MTCF patients were calculated by SURV 3.01 software, and Hakulinen likelihood ratio test was applied for comparison of RSR of MTCF patients in nine periods (1972-1976, 1977-1981, 1982-1986, 1987-1991, 1992-1996, 1997-2001, 2002-2006, 2007-2011, 2012-2016, every 5-year interval, ranging from the 1st to the 9th 5-year) and seven age groups (15-19, 20-24, 25-29, 30-34, 35-39, 40-44, 45-49 years, every 5-year interval, ranging from the 1st to the 7th 5-year) in the past 45 years. average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 1-, 5-, and 10-year OSR and RSR of MTCF patients were analyzed. The procedures followed in this study were in accordance with the regulations of the Ethics Committee of Qidong People′s Hospital and were reviewed and approved by this Ethics Committee (Approval No. ER-XXM-LWTG-2021-051).

Results

①From 1972-2016, the 1-, 5-, and 10-year OSR of MTCF patients in Qidong were 53.23%, 36.54%, and 32.54%, respectively, and the 1-, 5-, and 10-year RSR were 53.34%, 36.98%, and 33.45%, respectively. The 1- and 5-year RSR increased from 44.04% and 25.06% in the 1st 5-year interval to 83.24% and 68.04% in the 9th 5-year interval, and 10-year RSR increased from 21.14% in the 1st 5-year interval to 47.24% in the 8th 5-year interval. The differences were statistically significant among the 1-, 5-, and 10-year RSR of MTCF patients in nine periods (χ2 =1 291.19, P<0.001). The AAPC of 1-, 5-, and 10-year OSR of MTCF patients in Qidong were 2.18%, 3.30%, and 3.66%, respectively, and AAPC of 1-, 5-, and 10-year RSR were 2.18%, 3.28%, and 3.61%, respectively, and the upward trend of 1-, 5-, and 10-year OSR and RSR of MTCF patients in nine periods all were statistically significant (1-, 5-, and 10-year OSR: t=5.62, P=0.001; t=6.47, P<0.001; t=6.45, P<0.001; 1-, 5-, and 10-year RSR: t=5.63, P=0.001; t=6.50, P<0.001; t=6.48, P<0.001). ②The 5-year RSR of MTCF patients in the 1st to 7th 5-year intervals of Qidong within 45 years were 27.47%, 32.29%, 33.21%, 34.76%, 34.87%, 36.00%, and 40.60%, respectively. When comparing the overall 5-year RSR among these seven age groups, there was a statistically significant difference (χ2=90.66, P<0.001). The AAPC of 5-year RSR of patients in the 1st to 7th 5-year intervals were 3.56%, 2.48%, 3.47%, 3.18%, 3.02%, 3.54%, and 3.32%, respectively, and the 5-year RSR patients in these seven age groups showed a statistically significant upward trend in nine periods (t=5.03, P=0.002; t=6.34, P<0.001; t=10.80, P<0.001; t=5.24, P=0.001; t=5.66, P=0.001; t=5.09, P=0.001; t=6.66, P<0.001). ③Among the top 10 MTCF patients in terms of incidence in Qidong, the highest 5-year RSR was for thyroid cancer (97.05%), while the lowest was for liver cancer (6.86%).

Conclusions

The overall survival rate of MTCF patients in Qidong in the past 45 years has shown an upward trend. It is important to continue focusing on the health of women of childbearing age and strengthen screening strategies for key cancers such as liver cancer. Early detection, diagnosis, and treatment are crucial in order to further improve the overall survival rate of MTCF patients.

表1 9个时间段中,启东市MTCF患者1、5、10年OSR与RSR比较(%)
表2 第1~3个、第4~6个、第7~9个5年中,启东市7个年龄段MTCF患者的1、5、10年OSR与RSR比较(%)
时间 例数 第1个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 83 30.12 18.07 14.46 30.14 18.12 14.53
第4~6个5年 34 41.18 23.53 20.59 41.19 23.57 20.65
第7~9个5年 39 69.23 50.94 48.19 69.25 51.01 48.32
合计a 156 42.31 27.41 24.07 42.33 27.47 24.17
时间 例数 第2个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 134 37.31 23.88 21.64 37.33 23.93 21.78
第4~6个5年 87 44.83 28.74 20.69 44.84 28.78 20.78
第7~9个5年 83 66.27 49.40 49.40 66.29 49.47 49.54
合计a 304 47.37 32.23 28.15 47.39 32.29 28.29
时间 例数 第3个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 251 35.86 21.51 18.33 35.88 21.62 18.57
第4~6个5年 165 43.03 31.52 29.09 43.05 31.63 29.35
第7~9个5年 134 73.88 56.72 48.65 73.90 56.80 48.84
合计a 550 47.27 33.09 29.25 47.30 33.21 29.54
时间 例数 第4个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 299 46.15 27.43 23.75 46.22 27.65 24.20
第4~6个5年 387 41.09 25.58 22.74 41.13 25.75 23.11
第7~9个5年 249 71.08 57.03 53.36 71.12 57.19 53.74
合计a 935 50.70 34.55 31.10 50.75 34.76 31.56
时间 例数 第5个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 497 42.46 25.15 22.54 42.54 25.42 23.10
第4~6个5年 675 42.52 26.22 22.22 42.60 26.51 22.81
第7~9个5年 532 70.30 53.91 49.96 70.37 54.21 50.60
合计a 1 704 51.17 34.55 30.84 51.26 34.87 31.53
时间 例数 第6个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 595 41.35 22.69 18.32 41.45 23.01 18.95
第4~6个5年 933 41.80 25.83 23.04 41.92 26.27 23.90
第7~9个5年 1 144 65.73 50.17 46.25 65.84 50.60 47.16
合计a 2 672 51.95 35.55 31.79 52.06 36.00 32.73
时间 例数 第7个5岁
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 719 45.90 24.90 20.45 46.06 25.41 21.46
第4~6个5年 1 008 43.65 25.89 21.63 43.82 26.43 22.65
第7~9个5年 1 966 68.97 52.63 48.39 69.14 53.32 49.9
合计a 3 693 57.57 39.93 35.42 57.74 40.60 36.83
表3 启东市发病数前10位的MTCF患者在第1~3、4~6、7~9个5年中的1、5、10年OSR与RSR比较(%)
时间 例数 肝癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 998 17.23 3.51 1.90 17.31 3.60 2.03
第4~6个5年 1 118 15.92 5.90 4.03 16.01 6.08 4.30
第7~9个5年 667 26.54 12.73 9.42 26.65 13.03 9.90
合计a 2 783 18.94 6.68 4.49 19.03 6.86 4.77
时间 例数 乳腺癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 384 88.80 64.58 54.43 89.02 65.48 56.24
第4~6个5年 599 88.15 64.61 56.43 88.39 65.61 58.42
第7~9个5年 927 92.99 79.15 72.84 93.16 79.95 74.56
合计a 1 910 90.63 71.66 63.86 90.83 72.56 65.75
时间 例数 胃癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 264 45.46 19.70 15.15 45.57 19.98 15.68
第4~6个5年 365 43.01 21.37 18.08 43.12 21.67 18.67
第7~9个5年 307 57.00 35.83 33.26 57.10 36.16 33.97
合计a 936 48.29 25.64 22.13 48.40 25.96 22.78
时间 例数 宫颈癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 81 76.54 65.43 58.03 76.77 66.50 60.31
第4~6个5年 69 63.77 44.93 40.58 63.94 45.61 41.97
第7~9个5年 475 89.26 77.26 75.43 89.39 77.88 76.86
合计a 625 84.80 72.16 68.83 84.95 72.87 70.48
时间 例数 肺癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 93 24.73 8.6 7.53 24.8 8.73 7.79
第4~6个5年 184 17.94 6.52 4.89 17.99 6.62 5.06
第7~9个5年 303 41.58 15.06 12.12 41.66 15.21 12.41
合计a 580 31.38 11.32 8.96 31.45 11.47 9.23
时间 例数 结直肠癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 103 66.99 33.98 31.07 67.13 34.39 31.97
第4~6个5年 195 56.92 34.87 29.23 57.08 35.39 30.23
第7~9个5年 187 81.82 58.29 51.02 81.97 58.89 52.22
合计a 485 68.66 43.71 38.03 68.82 44.26 39.14
时间 例数 白血病
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 104 14.42 2.89 2.89 14.44 2.91 2.94
第4~6个5年 138 25.36 9.42 5.07 25.40 9.50 5.18
第7~9个5年 143 54.55 32.66 26.32 54.61 32.88 26.73
合计a 385 33.25 16.26 12.17 33.29 16.39 12.4
时间 例数 脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 70 22.86 5.71 2.86 22.90 5.77 2.93
第4~6个5年 112 40.18 19.64 16.96 40.28 19.90 17.46
第7~9个5年 136 50.74 35.29 33.12 50.81 35.60 33.78
合计a 318 40.88 23.27 20.63 40.96 23.51 21.14
时间 例数 甲状腺癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 34 94.12 88.24 85.29 94.29 89.17 87.47
第4~6个5年 30 93.33 93.33 80.00 93.47 94.16 81.66
第7~9个5年 208 100.00 98.08 96.86 100.12 98.74 98.49
合计a 272 98.53 96.32 92.06 98.66 97.05 93.8
时间 例数 卵巢癌
1年OSR 5年OSR 10年OSR 1年RSR 5年RSR 10年RSR
第1~3个5年 34 55.88 44.12 38.24 56.07 44.97 40.01
第4~6个5年 53 56.60 33.96 33.96 56.92 35.01 36.26
第7~9个5年 147 86.40 59.18 50.79 86.70 60.30 52.95
合计a 234 75.21 51.28 45.35 75.51 52.39 47.59
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Abstract